empty
InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing
InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Key documents
Social Responsibility
08.04.2025 12:58 AM
The Pound Attempts to Hold Within the Bullish Channel
Open trading account Open demo account

The United Kingdom is among the few G20 countries that got off relatively lightly—it was hit with a 25% tariff on car exports and a 10% tariff on other goods. This is significantly lower than the new tariffs imposed on China, the EU, or Japan, giving the British economy a fair chance to benefit, at least marginally, from the changing trade landscape.

This image is no longer relevant

As of 2023, the UK exported £60.4 billion worth of goods to the United States, accounting for 15.3% of its total exports. Now, exporters face a tough choice—either lower prices to remain competitive or reduce output in anticipation of weaker demand. The former seems unlikely, considering the increase in the minimum wage and cost of living, meaning businesses will most likely cut production. This, in turn, will lead to job losses and rising unemployment.

A decline in exports will also put downward pressure on the British pound. Additionally, increased demand for the U.S. dollar as a safe haven is likely. The only factor that could halt this process is the swift onset of a recession in the U.S.—and it would need to happen before similar slowdowns take hold in the countries facing higher U.S. import tariffs.

Meanwhile, the UK imported £57.9 billion worth of goods and £57.4 billion in services from the U.S. in 2023. These will now become more expensive, contributing to higher inflation. The Bank of England has declared a gradual and cautious approach to rate cuts. However, in light of this new threat and rising inflation expectations, rates may be elevated for a longer period. This will add pressure to GDP but could support the pound, especially as market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts are shifting toward a faster timeline.

The net long position on GBP declined by £0.8 billion over the reporting week, to £2.8 billion. Positioning remains bullish for now, but the calculated price dynamic—still holding above the long-term average—is beginning to turn bearish.

This image is no longer relevant

Last week, the pound reached a six-month high but saw a sharp pullback on Friday that continued into the start of the new week. GBP failed to consolidate above 1.3013, retreating to the technical support level of 1.2782 (38% of the year-to-date gains). The 1.2780–1.2810 support zone is quite significant, and the pound's next moves largely depend on whether it holds this level. A drop below could open the way to 1.2650. If the pound holds above support, a wide trading range between 1.2780 and 1.3200 may form, where GBP could consolidate for some time as the market repositions itself in response to the new global trade realities.

Kuvat Raharjo,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Fundamental analysis
The Market Enters Turbulent Waters The market is confident that tariffs won't materialize or that companies can pass them on to customers. The S&P 500's eight-day rally—its longest since August—strongly hints at this. So does
Marek Petkovich
09:24 2025-05-02 +02:00
1015
Crypto-currencies
Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on May 2 Bitcoin and Ethereum buyers have achieved new key resistance levels, indicating strong demand. Bitcoin has reached the $97,400 level, while Ethereum has approached the $1,870 mark. Meanwhile, the buzz around
Miroslaw Bawulski
09:15 2025-05-02 +02:00
1015
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

The Market Enters Turbulent Waters

The market is confident that tariffs won't materialize or that companies can pass them on to customers. The S&P 500's eight-day rally—its longest since August—strongly hints at this. So does
Marek Petkovich 09:24 2025-05-02 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on May 2? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Only a few macroeconomic events are scheduled for Friday, but some are quite significant. Naturally, the focus is on the U.S. NonFarm Payrolls and unemployment rate, yet it's also important
Paolo Greco 09:14 2025-05-02 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – May 2: The U.S. Dollar Didn't Rise for Long

On Thursday, the GBP/USD currency pair continued to decline. The dollar had strengthened for three consecutive days—despite having no objective reason. U.S. macroeconomic data has been consistently weak; there were
Paolo Greco 03:50 2025-05-02 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – May 2: The Dollar Faces a New Collapse – And It's Far from the Last

On Thursday, the EUR/USD currency pair once again traded relatively calmly, but the U.S. dollar failed to show any meaningful growth this time. A little bit of good news goes
Paolo Greco 03:47 2025-05-02 UTC+2

USD/JPY: A Rough Patch for the Yen

At its latest meeting, the Bank of Japan kept all key policy settings unchanged, effectively implementing the most expected baseline scenario—despite earlier conflicting statements from central bank officials
Irina Manzenko 01:19 2025-05-02 UTC+2

The Dollar Demands the Impossible

The market has finally found relief after America's Liberation Day. Stock indices are ready to recover the ground lost following the White House's implementation of sweeping tariffs amid expectations
Marek Petkovich 01:02 2025-05-02 UTC+2

Market pins blame on former president

In April, the US stock market took investors on its wildest roller coaster ride since the pandemic. The White House's "American Liberation Day" tariffs seemed to undermine the S&P 500's
Marek Petkovich 12:01 2025-05-01 UTC+2

Why Gold Is Falling for the Third Consecutive Day

Gold is declining for the third straight day amid signs of potential progress in trade negotiations between the U.S. and several other countries, which is dampening demand for safe-haven assets—even
Jakub Novak 11:40 2025-05-01 UTC+2

The Japanese Yen Has Declined Sharply — Here's Why

The yen fell sharply against the dollar and bond yields declined after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) left interest rates unchanged and pushed back the expected timeline for hitting
Jakub Novak 11:31 2025-05-01 UTC+2

The Eurozone Continues to Deliver Unexpected Results

According to the latest data, the eurozone economy grew more than expected at the beginning of the year, although it has yet to fully feel the impact of the U.S
Jakub Novak 09:13 2025-05-01 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.