Forex Analysis & Reviews: 12.02.2025 - BTC/USD Analysis

InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing

This section features the most important information about trading with InstaForex. We provide both analysis from leading experts for experienced traders and articles on trading conditions for beginners. Our services will help increase your profit potential.

Become Trader

Account Opening

See also

Trading Conditions

Forex Analytics

Charts

This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.

Start as Beginner

How to start trading

Useful information

Training and recordings

InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.

Become Investor

PAMM System

ForexCopy System

Passive investments

OYS account

Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.

Become Partner

Main Page

Partner Area

Advantages for Affiliates

Registration

This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.

All Promo Campaigns

Bonuses

Contests

Events

Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.

Full details

Forums

We are in social networks

Forex humour

Forex Portal

InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.

Learn More

History

Why Choose Us

InstaSport

Regulation

Company News

Awards

InstaForex Stars

InstaForex Offline

Headquarters

Key documents

Social Responsibility

InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing

12.02.2025 11:16 AM

BTC/USD Analysis – February 12th: Bitcoin Gathers Strength Ahead of a New Rally

The wave analysis of the 4-hour BTC/USD chart is straightforward. Following a prolonged and complex a-b-c-d-e corrective structure (from March 14 to August 5), a new impulsive wave began forming. This impulse wave has taken a clear five-wave structure. Given the size of Wave 1, Wave 5 may turn out to be truncated.

Bitcoin is unlikely to exceed the $110,000–$115,000 range in the coming months. Wave 4 has a three-wave formation, confirming the correct wave count.

Institutional investors, governments, and pension funds have been increasing their crypto investments. However, Trump's policies could force investors to exit the market. Trends do not stay bullish indefinitely, and current price action suggests a potential shift.

BTC/USD declined by $1,000 on Tuesday, but remains within a broader range. Despite the pullback, Bitcoin continues to trade sideways—which is the most critical factor right now. This sideways range is nearly $20,000 wide, allowing for significant short-term moves, but lacking a clear trend.

The uptrend appears to be completed. The market is either at the start of a prolonged corrective structure or the beginning of a new downtrend. Market activity has sharply declined—a typical characteristic of corrective phases. Buyers have consistently stepped in at $92,000, absorbing available supply. This suggests that most traders do not expect Bitcoin to drop below $92,000. However, no price level is absolute—a break below $92,000 could trigger a wave of sell-offs.

Unlike traditional stocks, crypto investors prioritize short-term gains over capital preservation. Stock market investors seek wealth preservation, whereas crypto traders focus on rapid profit opportunities. This makes the crypto market far more speculative and susceptible to sudden, large price swings. Bitcoin can easily drop by tens of thousands of dollars in a short period.

General conclusions

Based on BTC/USD analysis, the rally appears to be nearing completion. While this may be an unpopular view, Wave 5 is likely truncated. If this assumption holds, Bitcoin is set for either a major decline or a complex correction. Buying Bitcoin at current levels is not advisable. BTC could soon drop below the low of Wave 4. If that happens, it will confirm a transition into a new downtrend.

The higher timeframe shows a completed five-wave uptrend. The market is likely to enter a corrective or bearish phase soon.

Key Principles of My Wave Analysis

Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex formations are harder to trade and prone to unexpected changes.
If market conditions are uncertain, it is best to stay out.
Absolute certainty in market direction is impossible. Always use Stop Loss orders for effective risk management.
Wave analysis should be combined with other trading strategies. A multi-method approach improves decision-making accuracy.

You have already liked this post today

*Disclaimer: The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.