empty
07.04.2022 10:28 PM
Analysts predict strengthening of the Canadian dollar

The Canadian dollar will strengthen in the coming year, analysts interviewed by journalists believe. This version is supported by the fact that the Bank of Canada is potentially aggressively raising interest rates. Nevertheless, growth may be limited by the economy's dependence on the housing market.

Analyst predict strengthening of the Canadian dollar

This image is no longer relevant

The average forecast of the survey showed expectations of a 0.4% increase in the Canadian dollar to 1.25 per US dollar, or 80 US cents, in three months, which is in line with last month's forecast. The growth estimate forecast for the year was $1.23.

If tensions between Russia and Ukraine ease over the next few months, there will be "a reason for a little more risk trading, which would be beneficial for the Canadian dollar," Royce Mendes said, and noted that these same factors will force the Bank of Canada to play a little more aggressively.

The central bank of Canada is expected to raise its overnight interest rate by half a percent at its next policy meeting on April 13, according to median economists' forecasts. They also sharply increased their forecasts of domestic inflation for this year.

Recall that the Bank of Canada has not raised rates by this amount since May 2000. But last month, the central bank raised the rate by a quarter of a percentage point, which it usually prefers, for the first time since October 2018.

Since the Ukrainian crisis has spurred demand for the US dollar-a haven, the Canadian dollar has not benefited as much as usual from rising oil prices. But this may change as the oil market is now being globally restructured.

"I think there is still room for growth as investors digest some of the positive impact of higher commodity prices on the Canadian economy," said Stephen Brown, senior economist for Canada.

Canada is a major energy producer, thanks to which exports reached a record high in February. Economists expect further export growth.

But another key part of the economy, the housing market, has started to lose its momentum.

In addition, this in itself may be an early sign that there are limits to how much the Bank of Canada will be willing to raise rates in the current tightening cycle, at least compared to the Federal Reserve.

"The recovery in Canada is much more dependent on housing investment and housing prices in general, and obviously they are more sensitive to higher interest rates," Brown said, referring to the comparison with US markets.

However, a moderate rise in prices may force some Canadians to purchase real estate as a refuge, as well as in order to reduce rent costs, as well as spur the primary housing construction sector, eventually turning into a positive increase in GDP.

Egor Danilov,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

US Market News Digest for May 8, 2025. US stock indices close higher on trade deal optimism

Major US stock indices ended the session in the green, supported by statements from Donald Trump indicating progress in negotiations over a major trade agreement. The market interpreted this rhetoric

Ekaterina Kiseleva 14:00 2025-05-08 UTC+2

Gold slips, stocks sink: what India, Germany and the Fed have in common

Equities are falling on stalled tariff agreements ahead of the Fed decision. Gold is sliding on renewed US-China talks. UK and India have clinched a major trade pact. Friedrich Merz

12:36 2025-05-07 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 7

The major US stock indices closed in negative territory, with the S&P 500 down 0.8% amid growing uncertainty about trade policy and anticipation of new comments from the Federal Reserve

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:20 2025-05-07 UTC+2

Gold falls, stocks plunge: What India, Germany and the Fed have in common

Stocks fall on lack of tariff deals ahead of Fed policy decision Gold falls on hopes for US-China trade talks; UK, India reach trade deal after 3-year talks Germany's Merz

Thomas Frank 07:05 2025-05-07 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 6, 2025

The US stock market opened the week in turmoil. Berkshire Hathaway shares were trading under pressure after Warren Buffett had Stepped down as CEO. Investors are concerned about the company's

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:52 2025-05-06 UTC+2

$9 Billion for Skechers, falling indices, and surge in Asian stocks

Berkshire Hathaway slips after Warren Buffett steps down as CEO. The US services sector shows growth in April. Skechers surges following a $9 billion privatization deal. Investors await trade agreements

13:26 2025-05-06 UTC+2

Skechers' $9B, Indexes Sink, Asia Surges: A Day of Change

Berkshire Hathaway Slips After Buffett Steps Down as CEO U.S. Services Sector Rising in April Skechers Jumps After $9B Privatization Deal Investors Await U.S.-Partner Trade Deals Asian Currencies in Focus

Thomas Frank 07:41 2025-05-06 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for March 17

US stock indexes, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, ended the week confidently in positive territory. This was largely due to encouraging developments in trade talks with China and resilient

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:32 2025-05-05 UTC+2

Europe on pause: What's behind the stock market plunge and Trump's unexpected activity

European stocks fell slightly; STOXX 600 - minus 0.1%, France - minus 0.3% Investors await data on US-China talks, earnings and Fed decision Trump: 100% tariffs on foreign films, Alcatraz

Thomas Frank 11:34 2025-05-05 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for May 2

US equity indices continue to climb despite lingering economic uncertainty. Investor optimism is being driven by expectations of progress in trade talks between the US and China. Nevertheless, ongoing economic

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:14 2025-05-02 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.