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09.03.2021 02:13 PM
Will the US stimulus plan work?
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United States officials at all levels are relentless in making statements about business incentive measures. So, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, on Monday, reassured the financial world with promises that Joe Biden's program would definitely work.

We have already faced the consequences of the anti-crisis strategy of economic development from the Democrats. Widely advertised at first, it deftly reassured investors at a critical moment. But later, serious scandals broke out around the distribution of subsidies. In November, the Department of Treasury even tried to withdraw funding for one of the most controversial projects – providing liquidity in the field of salary protection (PPPLF).

The programs closed one after another, and as of December 31, only four remained in the package: Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF), Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF), Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility (MMLF), and the infamous Paycheck Protection Program Liquidity Facility (PPPLF).

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News from the US Federal Reserve will have an ambiguous effect on the dollar

On March 8, the Federal Reserve System officially announced the extension of the deadlines for securing the salary budgets of enterprises to return some of the illegally obtained funds to large companies. The other three expire on the last day of the month.

As already known, on Friday, against the background of positive trends in the labor market, the Senate approved a new package of anti-crisis measures, despite the opinion of Republicans about the "excessiveness" of the allocated piece of the state budget. This time, the finances will not go to entrepreneurs, but directly to consumers. Probably, in this way, the government intends to stimulate the growth of consumption and support the producer through this step.

However, what will happen if people who have been taught by bitter experience hide money "in a pot"? Will the national currency rate withstand the failure of the previous measures of the Democratic Party, given the fall in oil prices, which is expected in connection with the long-awaited warming in the northern hemisphere?

Some analysts believe that such subsidies will only lead to a blow to currency pairs and provoke a jump in the value of goods. Of course, inflation is not the same, and the situation with the coronavirus is clearly stabilizing, however, so far the presidential administration has not demonstrated significant success in stimulating the economy, having failed the previous project. This news will most likely affect the market indicators in April-May.

Egor Danilov,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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