empty
09.06.2023 10:10 AM
Sellers increase pressure on BTC: is it worth waiting for a breakdown of $25k?

A month-long lull in the accumulation and consolidation movement of the BTC price ended with a sharp surge in volatility. In just a few days, the price of Bitcoin experienced bullish and bearish breakouts beyond the usual range of fluctuations. The initiators of impulsive price movements have always been sellers who provoked the reaction of the bulls.

This image is no longer relevant

To a large extent, the buyers' reaction was symmetrical and sufficient to protect key levels. However, with trading volumes below the $30 billion level, it is difficult for the bulls to achieve a full trend reversal. Macroeconomic news also does not add positivity, creating an atmosphere of anxious uncertainty in the market.

Fundamental Factors

Let's divert our attention from what is happening overseas and return to the Eurozone, where inflation recently reached levels seen at the beginning of 2022. The hawkish policy of the ECB has yielded results but significantly undermined the economy's capabilities. According to data from Eurostat, the Eurozone entered a recession in the first quarter, and GDP has been declining for two consecutive quarters.

This image is no longer relevant

The situation in the U.S. remains challenging as well, as the forecasts published on Thursday regarding the expected level of consumer prices in May stood at 4.2% compared to 4.9% in April. This indicates the likelihood of accelerating the pace of inflation decline to -0.7%, which adds optimism to investors.

This image is no longer relevant

At the same time, the published data on the number of initial jobless claims does not inspire optimism. The figure rose to 261,000, while for several months, the statistics did not exceed the 240,000 mark. On the one hand, this is an additional restraining factor for raising the Fed's interest rate, but on the other hand, it becomes evident that the regulator is losing its only method of combating inflation.

This image is no longer relevant

The battle between the SEC and the largest cryptocurrency exchanges continues, with a total loss of around $2 billion in user fund outflows. Additionally, Binance U.S. has stopped accepting U.S. dollars following the SEC's lawsuit, further undermining trust in centralized exchanges.

BTC/USD Analysis

Investors are actively reacting to negative events in the cryptocurrency market. It is reported that over the past month and a half, practically all categories of addresses have significantly increased their BTC holdings, with some groups reaching absolute highs. In total, traders and investors have withdrawn over 15,000 BTC from cryptocurrency exchanges over the past 1.5 months.

This image is no longer relevant

At the same time, analysts from several leading on-chain resources note that after the consolidation period, selling pressure has significantly increased. As of June 9, bears are dominating the cryptocurrency market, forcing buyers to react.

This image is no longer relevant

However, it cannot be claimed that bears have complete control over the BTC market. The recent buyers' reaction, which led to a "bullish engulfing" formation in Bitcoin, demonstrates the potential for an upward movement. However, at this stage, external factors and market sentiment do not provide bulls with the opportunity to realize an upward impulse.

This image is no longer relevant

The BTC/USD price is moving near the $26.6k level and attempting to return to the consolidation range of $26.6k–$27.5k. At this stage, sellers manage to hold the support level at $26.6k, which opens up the possibility for bears to push the price lower towards $25.5k. On the other hand, buyers need to enter the $26.6k–$27.5k range to continue the upward movement towards $28k.

Conclusion

The market is once again experiencing a calm period with a slight advantage for sellers, who are keeping the price within their desired range. Trading activity will likely decrease even further over the weekend, and more active price movement will be observed in anticipation of the Federal Reserve meeting and inflation data, where each side will attempt to implement their plans.

Artem Petrenko,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Bitcoin spikes from $96 600 to $104 500 in 24 hours

Bitcoin has surged to $104,500, after trading at $96,600 just yesterday morning. This confident move above the $100,000 mark clearly signals a return of strong bullish momentum in the cryptocurrency

Jakub Novak 14:49 2025-05-09 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on May 9

Bitcoin has climbed above $100,000, while Ethereum is trying to consolidate above $2,000. After yesterday's sharp rally, which continued during today's Asian session, Bitcoin is now trading at $103,000, having

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:46 2025-05-09 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement Ethereum Cryptocurrency, Friday May 09, 2025.

If we look at the 4-hour chart of the Ethereum cryptocurrency, it appears that the price movement is moving above the WMA (30 Shift 2) which also has a slope

Arief Makmur 06:27 2025-05-09 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement Bitcoin Cryptocurrency, Friday May 09, 2025.

On the 4-hour chart of the Bitcoin cryptocurrency, the Stochastic Oscillator indicator can be seen to be in Overbought conditions and is now preparing to Cross SELL and break below

Arief Makmur 06:27 2025-05-09 UTC+2

Bitcoin: Who's Driving the Price Up — Powell, the U.S. Treasury, or Short Squeezes?

While stock indices remain stagnant, gold consolidates near its highs, and Bitcoin is once again capturing attention. The crypto market's flagship has approached the psychologically important $100,000 level

Ekaterina Kiseleva 00:28 2025-05-09 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on May 8

Bitcoin reached just below $100,000, while Ethereum hit $1,900. Such a major growth in the cryptocurrency market once again confirms its bullish outlook, which has been discussed quite

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:22 2025-05-08 UTC+2

Bitcoin on the Brink: Breakout or Reversal?

Bitcoin's price is hovering near a psychologically significant threshold, with market participants bracing for another upward surge or a sudden reversal that could erase short-term bullish expectations. More chart

Ekaterina Kiseleva 01:16 2025-05-08 UTC+2

Crypto market opens with buoyant growth

US stock index futures surged sharply at the opening of today's trading session on news that representatives from the US and China have resumed consultations on trade matters. Media reports

Jurij Tolin 14:14 2025-05-07 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on May 7

Bitcoin and Ethereum Show Further Growth Amid Positive Crypto Legislation News Bitcoin is currently trading at $96,700, having rebounded from a low of $93,400, while Ethereum has recovered

Miroslaw Bawulski 10:32 2025-05-07 UTC+2

Bitcoin Gathers Strength: The Market Prepares for the Next Wave

Bitcoin is trading in the $93,000–$94,000 range, about 0.5% below its recent local high of $97,900, recorded on May 2. Volatility has decreased, and the market seems

Ekaterina Kiseleva 01:23 2025-05-07 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.