Technical outlook:

The US dollar index has dropped to 103.12, inching closer to the recent swing low at 103.07. The drop between 104.50 and 103.12 looks corrective. Until prices stay above 103.12, we expect the instrument to rally towards 107.00 and the 110.00-50 range going forward. The index is seen to be trading at 103.12 at this point in writing as the bulls prepare to come back in control soon.

The US dollar index has completed a three-wave drop at 103.07, which had begun from the 114.70 highs earlier. If the above larger-degree wave structure holds well, the next move could be higher from here with the index pushing above 114.70 in the next several weeks. A push through 104.50 would open the door to test 105.50 and 107.00 in the near term.

Alternatively, if the drop from 114.70 needs to unfold further lower below 103.00, prices would find resistance around 107.00 and the 110.00-50 range before the bears are back in control. Either way, prices are expected to produce a rally from current levels at least towards 107.00 and the 110.00-50 range. A break above 103.70 would be welcomed by the bulls.

Trading idea:

Potential rally against 103.00

Good luck!